Friday, November 21, 2008

Season 10 Amateur Draft Analysis: Picks 21-32

21. Stephen Johnson (Honolulu Tsunami) - The Tsunami have quietly stockpiled a ton of young talent, and Johnson is another piece to add. Three solid pitches and an ability to handle RH batters makes Johnson a solid future starter. Grade: A-

22. Del Douglass (Richmond Revolution) - Pitchers like Douglass are the hardest to predict: whether or not his control develops to where it's projected will decide whether Douglass is a successful ML pitcher or not. Grade: C+

23. Ozzie Wilkins (Kansas City Fresh) - Wilkins will be a very solid relief pitcher in the future, and will be able to pitch a lot thanks to his high durability. If his splits were a bit higher he'd be a great closer candidate. Grade: B

24. Josh Foster (Jackson Jokers) - Foster is another great steal of the draft. He has great power and is a nightmare for LHP's. Although he's not a great defender, he is adequate behind the plate and won't be limited to DH duties. Grade: A

25. George Bochtler (Colorado Springs Field Mice) - Although Bochtler is listed as a SS, it is unlikely he'll ever play there as he just doesn't have enough range. With his great speed, he might be a better option coming off the bench in the future. Grade: C-

26. Joey Seo (Charleston Vampires) - Seo is another hard-to-predict pitcher. If his control develops fully, he'll be a solid ML pitcher who can go deep into games. If not, he might be AAA material. Grade: C+

27. Gerald Nicholas (Cleveland Redlegs) - Without a dominant pitch or more than one really solid pitch, Nicholas will probably be no more than a solid number 4 or 5 starter. Grade: B-

28. Skeeter Offerman (Montgomery Maulers) - Offerman has great control and a solid 4-pitch arsenal. However, his low effectiveness vs. both lefties and righties means he should probably never see the big leagues. Grade: D

29. Toby Watkins (Indianapolis Lancers) - With durability 10 points higher, Watkins would probably be a solid 4 or 5 starter. However, with durability of 11, he's probably limited to a relief role in the future. Grade: B-

30. Ed Reboulet (Ottawa Rough Riders) - Reboulet won't be an All-Star (most likely), but he should be a pretty solid starter or bat off the bench. Grade: C

31. Jim Hoffman (Pawtucket Patriots) - Hoffman's solid splits and great batting eye will give him a high OPS. However, with his low pitch calling, he might be limited to DH duties. Grade: B

32. Hughie Wright (Rochester Big and Tall) - Wright won't be dominant out of the pen, but he'll be a very solid reliever who can rack up a lot of innings in relief. Grade: B+

Season 10 Amateur Draft Analysis: Picks 11-20

11. Gregg Falk (Montreal Canadiens) - While Falk falls a little short of the trio of aces due to his weak curveball and changeup and tendency to struggle a little against righties at times, he'll still be a very solid big league pitcher who should rack up some complete games. Grade: A-

12. Randall Osborne (Helena Loggers) - If Osborne signs, this will be one of the steals of the draft. While he's a bit subpar for SS defensively (probably better suited to 3B), he's a very solid hitter who definitely has a big league future. However, he hasn't signed yet and might opt for college. Grade: Incomplete

13. Alex Rice (New York BREAK YOUR BACKERS) - Rice boasts two very good pitches, solid velocity, great control, and an ability to pitch an insane number of innings out of the bullpen. However, his splits mean you might not want him pitching a lot of innings. Grade: D-

14. Rafael Quixote (Charlotte Grandma-mas) - Although Quixote will sometimes struggle with RHP's and doesn't have a great eye at the plate, he makes great contact, hits for great power, fares well against lefties and has decent speed. Grade: A-

15. Mo Levier (Augusta moose) - Levier will be a solid hitter and defensive SS. He doesn't have phenomenal power but he makes contact and drives the ball. He'll probably bat over .300 multiple times in his career. Grade: B+

16. Torey Burnett (St. Louis Arch Angels) - Burnett wants to sign, but it looks like the Arch Angels don't plan on inking him to a deal, and for good reason. Although he has good splits and quality pitches, his control means that he'll be a borderline ML pitcher at best. Grade: F

17. Marvin Owens (Texas Texas Rebels) - Good splits, great control, a dominant 4-seam fastball, and two other good pitches...on the surface Owens looks like a superstar reliever. And he will be good...when he is able to pitch. But that low durability coupled with his stamina means he won't be able to be used as a closer or as a workhorse setup man. Grade: B-

18. Alex Rogers (Vancouver City Slickers) - Rogers isn't a superstar offensively - he can hold his own but probably isn't going to be an All-Star when it comes to batting. However, his excellent defensive skills make his offense more valuable, and make him a good pick. Grade: A-

19. Chris Stark (Colorado Springs Field Mice) - Stark has some of the most pure power of any hitter in the draft. What makes him really special, though, is his ability to hit for average as well as get a lot of long balls. Grade: A

20. Russell Duran (Little Rock Radioactive Reindeer) - Duran is the definition of solid: he's not a star on offense or defense, but he will be a solid starter in both respects when he reaches the big leagues. Grade: B-

Season 10 Amateur Draft Analysis: Picks 1-10

Grades are based on the value of the player selected at the position they were selected at. I have $16 million advanced scouting, so everything I see isn't 100% accurate.

1. Eddie Flynn (New York Juicers) - Flynn is the best pitcher in the draft this year, and if he signs, he'll likely be one of the top pitchers in World Alexander. However, he still hasn't signed and word is he's heading to college. Grade: Incomplete

2. Glen Waterson (Philadelphia Wild Cats) - Waterson's changeup, sinker, and curveball are below average, but that won't stop him from being the future ace that the Wild Cats need so badly. Grade: A

3. Timothy Bowie (Chicago Cubs) - My $16 million advanced scouting budget shows Bowie projecting to a startling 98 overall - thanks in part to projected 100 durability, but also to the fact that he plays great defense at SS, has excellent speed, and swings a decent bat. A solid all-around player, but not a superstar on offense. Grade: B

4. Tony Flores (Oklahoma City Knights) - Flores is the third of a trio of aces picked near the top of the draft this year. Although he doesn't have a dominant pitch, his great splits, control, and velocity will make him a very good starting pitcher in the future. Grade: A

5. Javy Rivera (Iowa City Black Hawks) - Rivera plays solid defense at SS and swings a decent, if unspectacular, bat. He'll be a good player, but I think there were better players available this high in the draft. Grade: C-

6. Bono Dean (Oakland Acorns) - Dean boasts a great fastball and solid velocity, but his mediocre control and splits will prevent him from being a star. He projects to be a bottom of the rotation starter if he makes the big leagues. Grade: D

7. Wayne Knowles (San Antonio Stars) - If Knowles signs, this is one of the top picks in the draft. He projects to be a superstar hitter, as well as having the defensive skill to play behind the plate. Unfortunately, he also has skill on the court, as he's being scouted to play professional basketball and may not sign. Grade: Incomplete

8. Frank Saunders (Las Vegas Dreamers) - Saunders will be a decent player in the big leagues, as he boasts solid speed and a pretty good bat. However, he doesn't play 2B too well defensively, and he bat is only "pretty good." Grade: C

9. Francisco Espada (Milwaukee Brewers) - Espada's only weakness is his struggles facing left-handed batters. If he didn't have this problem, he'd rank right up there with Flynn, Waterson, and Bowie as aces of the draft. Grade: B

10. Ted Rogers (Cleveland Redlegs) - Rogers will be a good defensive catcher and above average at the plate. He should be an important part of the Redlegs' lineup for years to come. Grade: B+